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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63109501001508293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+13
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +9
12Coral scored#10
44Coral points35
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
54Total teleop63
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
82Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#13
38.42.1
30.933.0
Auto6.1
Teleop26.8
End5.5
blue by 19.7
58.10.1
57.056.8
Auto10.4
Teleop37.8
End9.9
Second
8300
#14
23.71.2
20.521.7
Auto4.1
Teleop18.4
End1.2
red by 0.5
9210
#15
23.20.2
20.220.0
Auto5.8
Teleop15.2
End2.1
Third
9703
#33
18.21.2
9.010.2
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End2.7
blue by 2.2
4216
#20
20.40.1
15.215.1
Auto3.0
Teleop15.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned