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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7863020401001201406932

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+39Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
4Coral points0
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +35
10Coral scored#4
36Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
54Total teleop19
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#1
3L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
69Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#3
37.80.0
30.130.1
Auto4.1
Teleop27.6
End6.1
red by 13.3
7289
#27
24.52.9
24.921.9
Auto6.5
Teleop15.7
End2.3
Second
5144
#18
32.40.0
26.025.9
Auto3.5
Teleop27.3
End1.6
red by 16.4
830
#23
15.92.9
21.218.3
Auto3.7
Teleop10.1
End2.0
Third
9239
#30
9.10.1
13.513.5
Auto2.2
Teleop6.6
End0.2
blue by 1.2
7221
#39
10.21.7
12.110.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed