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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions928505015020025070101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+7
Endgame+5
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave9
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +6
11Coral scored#8
40Coral points30
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
60Total teleop54
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#1
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points26
70Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.80.7
43.142.5
Auto10.8
Teleop35.2
End0.7
blue by 0.5
47.30.0
41.441.4
Auto10.0
Teleop36.5
End0.9
Second
7656
#10
24.71.1
20.319.2
Auto4.2
Teleop13.7
End6.9
red by 2.3
22.50.0
15.215.2
Auto4.7
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Third
5225
#31
15.11.1
16.315.2
Auto2.9
Teleop9.1
End3.1
blue by 3.4
8423
#22
18.50.0
18.818.8
Auto4.5
Teleop11.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsMissed91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned