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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534402060801004735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+14Teleop
+14Endgame
+12Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +14
7Coral scored#4
24Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
32Total teleop18
Reef
4L4#2
1L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points2
47Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.51.3
21.820.5
Auto4.8
Teleop14.5
End4.2
red by 5.0
4568
#24
18.52.0
16.914.8
Auto3.8
Teleop13.7
End0.9
Second
9183
#32
20.10.8
17.516.7
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End3.1
red by 1.7
5234
#29
18.51.2
14.012.7
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
Third
7597
#35
14.80.8
11.710.9
Auto3.0
Teleop9.2
End2.5
blue by 0.9
5205
#36
15.72.0
11.59.5
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsMissed