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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624802040801001207127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+38Teleop
+44Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points6
10Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +37
10Coral scored#3
35Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
49Total teleop12
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#4
BargeRed +6
12Cage & park6
12Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points0
71Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9312
#25
24.51.6
22.624.2
Auto6.3
Teleop15.9
End2.3
blue by 0.1
7289
#27
24.52.1
21.919.9
Auto6.5
Teleop15.7
End2.3
Second
8423
#22
18.51.0
18.819.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.3
End2.6
red by 4.7
6591
#38
13.82.1
10.07.9
Auto2.7
Teleop11.0
End0.1
Third
5225
#31
15.11.6
15.216.8
Auto2.9
Teleop9.1
End3.1
red by 2.3
8519
#26
12.81.3
13.912.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed