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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93884060801001201409291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +15
9Leave9
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points18
12Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +16
15Coral scored#11
54Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
76Total teleop60
Reef
6L4#3
6L3#5
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
92Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.30.6
41.442.0
Auto10.0
Teleop36.5
End0.9
red by 1.6
302
#17
45.70.8
37.037.8
Auto15.1
Teleop29.6
End1.0
Second
31.10.6
26.827.4
Auto5.6
Teleop18.5
End7.0
blue by 7.3
2960
#13
38.41.3
33.034.3
Auto6.1
Teleop26.8
End5.5
Third
4568
#24
18.51.0
14.815.8
Auto3.8
Teleop13.7
End0.9
red by 2.8
5205
#36
15.71.3
9.510.8
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed