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Qual 382025 FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation
Red118
102551.2
54837.8
555922.7
Blue64
719746.8
889522.5
918320.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions907520406010012014011864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+34Teleop
+56Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave6
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
16Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +40
18Coral scored#7
64Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
78Total teleop38
Reef
8L4#4
4L3#2
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#13
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points2
118Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1025
#5
51.22.0
39.1→41.1
Auto11.8
Teleop32.0
End7.3
red by 4.4
7197
#8
46.80.8
42.5→41.7
Auto10.8
Teleop35.2
End0.7
Second
548
#3
37.82.0
30.1→32.1
Auto4.1
Teleop27.6
End6.1
red by 15.3
8895
#7
22.50.8
15.2→14.4
Auto4.7
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Third
5559
#21
22.72.0
18.3→20.3
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End3.2
red by 2.6
9183
#32
20.10.8
16.7→15.9
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed