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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826420401001201408273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+5
+7Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave9
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +8
11Coral scored#10
40Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
58Total teleop50
Reef
2L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
2Foul points0
82Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7501
#11
37.40.3
35.235.5
Auto5.9
Teleop24.5
End7.0
red by 3.0
503
#12
34.40.6
26.827.4
Auto8.2
Teleop22.1
End4.1
Second
7656
#10
24.70.5
19.219.7
Auto4.2
Teleop13.7
End6.9
blue by 6.4
8522
#19
31.11.0
23.724.7
Auto5.4
Teleop24.0
End1.7
Third
830
#23
15.90.5
18.318.8
Auto3.7
Teleop10.1
End2.0
red by 1.1
7597
#35
14.80.6
10.911.5
Auto3.0
Teleop9.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed