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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4458020801004699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+19
Endgame+17
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +15
5Coral scored#10
18Coral points35
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
28Total teleop43
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points36
46Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.1
14.414.5
Auto4.7
Teleop16.4
End1.3
blue by 1.2
8300
#14
23.70.5
22.923.4
Auto4.1
Teleop18.4
End1.2
Second
4568
#24
18.50.2
15.816.1
Auto3.8
Teleop13.7
End0.9
blue by 1.9
4216
#20
20.40.5
16.717.2
Auto3.0
Teleop15.3
End2.1
Third
8374
#40
15.30.2
13.713.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.4
End2.1
blue by 4.9
9183
#32
20.10.5
15.916.4
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed