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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74810501001502006782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+27
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +23
8Coral scored#13
27Coral points46
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
12Processor points12
4Net points8
16Algae points20
43Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
12Cage & park0
12Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
67Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#12
34.40.1
27.427.3
Auto8.2
Teleop22.1
End4.1
blue by 12.4
46.80.6
41.742.2
Auto10.8
Teleop35.2
End0.7
Second
9210
#15
23.20.1
22.021.8
Auto5.8
Teleop15.2
End2.1
blue by 1.3
9312
#25
24.50.9
24.225.1
Auto6.3
Teleop15.9
End2.3
Third
830
#23
15.90.1
18.818.7
Auto3.7
Teleop10.1
End2.0
red by 2.1
6591
#38
13.80.9
7.98.8
Auto2.7
Teleop11.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed