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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions735402040801001201409368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+27Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +26
12Coral scored#8
44Coral points30
3Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
18Processor points6
4Net points4
22Algae points10
66Total teleop40
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
93Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#3
37.81.4
32.133.5
Auto4.1
Teleop27.6
End6.1
red by 13.0
7656
#10
24.70.9
19.720.7
Auto4.2
Teleop13.7
End6.9
Second
8423
#22
18.51.4
19.721.1
Auto4.5
Teleop11.3
End2.6
blue by 2.9
21.40.9
20.321.2
Auto2.7
Teleop15.4
End3.3
Third
13.62.3
14.516.8
Auto0.9
Teleop11.1
End1.6
blue by 4.9
5234
#29
18.50.6
10.711.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsEarned