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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions508502040601001201401605198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+47
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +43
4Coral scored#13
15Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
25Total teleop68
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points0
51Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.10.0
27.427.5
Auto5.6
Teleop18.5
End7.0
blue by 6.3
7501
#11
37.41.6
35.537.1
Auto5.9
Teleop24.5
End7.0
Second
5205
#36
15.70.0
10.810.8
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End2.2
blue by 16.6
5144
#18
32.41.6
27.429.0
Auto3.5
Teleop27.3
End1.6
Third
8519
#26
12.80.0
12.612.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.3
End1.6
red by 2.5
7221
#39
10.21.6
11.312.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned