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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11493406080140160180137127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+8Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
4Coral scored#6
20Coral points31
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +22
14Coral scored#16
52Coral points58
4Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
24Processor points12
24Net points8
48Algae points20
100Total teleop78
Reef
6L4#5
6L3#8
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
28Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
137Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.11.8
57.859.6
Auto10.4
Teleop37.8
End9.9
red by 7.0
51.21.8
41.143.0
Auto11.8
Teleop32.0
End7.3
Second
8522
#19
31.12.9
24.727.6
Auto5.4
Teleop24.0
End1.7
blue by 14.6
302
#17
45.71.8
37.839.6
Auto15.1
Teleop29.6
End1.0
Third
5559
#21
22.71.8
20.322.1
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End3.2
red by 7.9
7597
#35
14.81.8
11.513.4
Auto3.0
Teleop9.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed