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Qual 472025 FIM District Jackson at Columbia Event presented by Consumers Energy Foundation
Red125
261149.6
970318.2
889522.5
Blue102
931224.5
366846.5
1070523.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7188020406080100120140160125102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+31Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave9
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
30Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +23
15Coral scored#15
55Coral points54
3Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
18Processor points0
16Net points12
34Algae points12
89Total teleop66
Reef
9L4#6
6L3#4
2L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
125Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2611
#6
49.63.3
40.8→44.1
Auto17.1
Teleop30.7
End1.9
red by 3.1
3668
#4
46.50.7
37.1→37.8
Auto8.9
Teleop31.5
End6.1
Second
8895
#7
22.53.3
14.5→17.8
Auto4.7
Teleop16.4
End1.3
blue by 2.0
9312
#25
24.51.1
25.1→26.2
Auto6.3
Teleop15.9
End2.3
Third
9703
#33
18.23.3
11.6→14.9
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End2.7
blue by 5.3
10705
#16
23.51.2
17.1→18.3
Auto4.8
Teleop14.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned