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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7811120406010012014016081108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+35
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +20
6Leave9
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
6Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +15
10Coral scored#16
35Coral points56
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
59Total teleop74
Reef
2L4#8
4L3#7
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#23
BargeRed +8
16Cage & park8
16Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
81Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2960
#13
38.40.5
35.736.2
Auto6.1
Teleop26.8
End5.5
blue by 8.9
47.30.4
42.943.2
Auto10.0
Teleop36.5
End0.9
Second
21.40.5
21.221.7
Auto2.7
Teleop15.4
End3.3
blue by 25.4
46.80.4
42.242.6
Auto10.8
Teleop35.2
End0.7
Third
9183
#32
20.10.3
16.416.7
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End3.1
red by 1.7
5234
#29
18.50.4
11.311.7
Auto5.3
Teleop9.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed