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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions835920401001201408953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+40Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points7
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +33
13Coral scored#6
46Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
64Total teleop31
Reef
5L4#2
6L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
89Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#17
45.71.0
39.640.6
Auto15.1
Teleop29.6
End1.0
red by 22.5
9210
#15
23.20.4
21.821.4
Auto5.8
Teleop15.2
End2.1
Second
4568
#24
18.51.5
16.117.6
Auto3.8
Teleop13.7
End0.9
Level
8423
#22
18.50.3
21.120.9
Auto4.5
Teleop11.3
End2.6
Third
830
#23
15.91.5
18.720.2
Auto3.7
Teleop10.1
End2.0
red by 0.7
8374
#40
15.30.4
13.913.5
Auto3.9
Teleop9.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed