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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515502040801001201401605739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+20Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
4Coral points9
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +16
8Coral scored#4
30Coral points14
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
40Total teleop24
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
57Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8300
#14
23.70.5
23.423.9
Auto4.1
Teleop18.4
End1.2
red by 1.0
5559
#21
22.70.8
22.121.3
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End3.2
Second
5225
#31
15.10.8
13.013.8
Auto2.9
Teleop9.1
End3.1
blue by 3.1
9703
#33
18.20.8
14.914.1
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End2.7
Third
7221
#39
10.20.5
12.913.4
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End3.0
blue by 4.6
7597
#35
14.80.8
13.412.6
Auto3.0
Teleop9.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed