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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions819520406012014016018044102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+36
Endgame+34
Fouls+58
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points4
13Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +36
5Coral scored#11
19Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
6Processor points12
0Net points8
6Algae points20
25Total teleop61
Reef
2L4#4
3L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points24
44Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#12
34.41.9
25.223.4
Auto8.2
Teleop22.1
End4.1
blue by 12.9
47.30.3
40.139.8
Auto10.0
Teleop36.5
End0.9
Second
9312
#25
24.53.1
32.429.3
Auto6.3
Teleop15.9
End2.3
blue by 6.6
8522
#19
31.10.5
22.622.0
Auto5.4
Teleop24.0
End1.7
Third
9183
#32
20.11.9
14.512.7
Auto4.7
Teleop12.3
End3.1
red by 11.1
9239
#30
9.10.5
20.019.5
Auto2.2
Teleop6.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned