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Red128
81542.3
504625.9
931238.8
Blue105
360450.6
564132.5
118944.5
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11314950100200128105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+37Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave3
5Coral scored#3
25Coral points13
34Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +19
16Coral scored#17
58Coral points61
2Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
12Processor points6
24Net points8
36Algae points14
94Total teleop75
Reef
7L4#6
7L3#7
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
128Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
815
#3
42.30.6
40.941.5
Auto6.4
Teleop34.1
End1.8
blue by 8.3
50.60.5
51.150.6
Auto9.0
Teleop36.9
End4.7
Second
38.80.6
37.438.0
Auto12.7
Teleop23.8
End2.3
blue by 5.6
44.50.5
45.044.5
Auto7.4
Teleop28.4
End8.7
Third
5046
#27
25.90.6
24.525.1
Auto5.6
Teleop17.7
End2.6
blue by 6.5
5641
#17
32.50.5
33.032.5
Auto6.2
Teleop25.1
End1.2