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Qual 102025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - DTE Energy Foundation Division
Red102
442255.4
81841.3
85749.3
Blue129
553054.0
277149.6
365555.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149147120140160180102129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+25
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
5Coral scored#4
24Coral points21
27Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +22
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#6
6Processor points12
4Net points24
10Algae points36
61Total teleop83
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#5
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
102Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4422
#17
55.42.2
49.7→47.5
Auto12.4
Teleop32.3
End10.7
blue by 0.1
3655
#15
55.50.7
52.2→51.5
Auto13.2
Teleop33.1
End9.1
Second
857
#30
49.32.2
42.1→40.0
Auto12.5
Teleop29.1
End7.6
blue by 4.7
5530
#32
54.00.7
45.2→44.5
Auto14.6
Teleop33.6
End5.8
Third
818
#37
41.32.2
42.6→40.4
Auto7.4
Teleop32.3
End1.6
blue by 8.4
2771
#11
49.60.7
41.7→41.0
Auto10.7
Teleop32.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsMissed95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned