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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162156120140180200190185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+1
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
7Coral scored#10
37Coral points51
37Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +13
25Coral scored#23
89Coral points82
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
24Processor points18
24Net points24
48Algae points42
137Total teleop124
Reef
11L4#10
7L3#11
10L2#7
4L1 · trough#5
42Game pieces#42
BargeRed +6
16Cage & park10
16Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
190Total score185

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.81.3
63.965.2
Auto20.9
Teleop42.1
End8.8
red by 2.3
3539
#13
69.51.7
61.262.9
Auto21.2
Teleop40.3
End8.0
Second
247
#39
51.91.3
48.649.9
Auto8.7
Teleop35.5
End7.7
blue by 1.1
5577
#28
53.01.7
45.547.2
Auto10.4
Teleop40.3
End2.3
Third
8873
#23
46.81.3
36.938.2
Auto7.5
Teleop30.3
End8.9
red by 10.8
8517
#33
36.01.7
34.436.2
Auto8.1
Teleop25.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed52%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsMissed