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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15713880100120180200220126175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+27
Endgame+15
Fouls+49
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points20
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +30
13Coral scored#16
47Coral points57
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#6
12Processor points24
16Net points24
28Algae points48
75Total teleop105
Reef
8L4#7
5L3#4
2L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#30
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
2Foul points36
126Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#16
68.21.8
55.353.5
Auto15.4
Teleop41.9
End10.8
blue by 1.8
69.90.2
58.859.0
Auto11.3
Teleop48.2
End10.3
Second
3770
#26
52.11.8
49.147.3
Auto5.3
Teleop36.3
End10.5
blue by 7.8
2145
#22
59.90.2
46.947.2
Auto18.0
Teleop37.0
End4.9
Third
5509
#14
48.21.8
42.140.2
Auto8.6
Teleop29.6
End10.0
red by 22.0
4453
#35
26.20.2
23.723.9
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned