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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15510750200176177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
10Coral scored#7
51Coral points37
54Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +19
22Coral scored#21
78Coral points75
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#6
12Processor points18
8Net points24
20Algae points42
98Total teleop117
Reef
9L4#11
12L3#6
5L2#6
6L1 · trough#5
36Game pieces#37
BargeRed +4
24Cage & park20
24Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
176Total score177

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.82.6
60.262.8
Auto19.6
Teleop49.4
End5.8
red by 18.1
56.74.9
38.843.7
Auto17.9
Teleop32.2
End6.6
Second
68
#24
67.62.6
57.259.8
Auto19.5
Teleop39.3
End8.8
red by 18.3
4003
#29
49.34.9
34.739.5
Auto8.2
Teleop36.5
End4.5
Third
9685
#34
26.92.6
19.522.1
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End7.2
blue by 16.3
43.34.9
30.635.5
Auto3.0
Teleop37.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
46%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsEarned