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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15413450100200250300190114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+56Teleop
+76Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave6
8Coral scored#7
42Coral points34
51Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +45
22Coral scored#11
79Coral points40
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#3
12Processor points18
24Net points12
36Algae points30
115Total teleop70
Reef
10L4#7
8L3#6
8L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#24
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
0Foul points0
190Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.82.1
62.864.8
Auto19.6
Teleop49.4
End5.8
red by 10.2
2611
#27
64.71.9
53.551.6
Auto17.7
Teleop43.5
End3.4
Second
56.72.1
43.745.7
Auto17.9
Teleop32.2
End6.6
red by 1.8
5907
#10
54.91.9
44.542.6
Auto13.2
Teleop38.7
End3.0
Third
1481
#25
48.82.1
44.246.2
Auto9.1
Teleop35.1
End4.6
red by 12.6
8280
#36
36.11.9
35.934.0
Auto13.5
Teleop19.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed