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Red126
171850.8
57341.4
6636.5
Blue206
3385.2
171137.0
468043.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130169100150200250126206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+76
Endgame+76
Fouls+80
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
5Coral scored#7
23Coral points37
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +62
15Coral scored#24
53Coral points85
1Processor algae#4
4Net algae#7
6Processor points24
16Net points28
22Algae points52
75Total teleop137
Reef
8L4#9
4L3#12
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#42
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +80
2Foul points6
126Total score206

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.80.1
42.041.9
Auto11.5
Teleop30.0
End9.4
blue by 34.4
33
#7
85.23.1
74.077.1
Auto19.7
Teleop56.0
End9.5
Second
573
#31
41.40.1
39.339.2
Auto6.9
Teleop27.4
End7.0
blue by 1.9
43.33.1
35.538.6
Auto3.0
Teleop37.4
End2.9
Third
66
#40
36.50.1
35.735.6
Auto6.0
Teleop26.1
End4.3
blue by 0.5
1711
#38
37.03.1
35.738.8
Auto9.5
Teleop19.1
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned