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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17711050100150200250142126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+26Teleop
+18Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
6Coral scored#7
31Coral points34
37Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +29
16Coral scored#16
57Coral points56
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
18Processor points6
24Net points8
42Algae points14
99Total teleop70
Reef
8L4#9
5L3#6
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points2
142Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#13
69.51.2
62.961.7
Auto21.2
Teleop40.3
End8.0
red by 15.5
5530
#32
54.01.0
44.545.5
Auto14.6
Teleop33.6
End5.8
Second
3770
#26
52.11.2
47.346.1
Auto5.3
Teleop36.3
End10.5
red by 2.8
857
#30
49.31.0
40.041.0
Auto12.5
Teleop29.1
End7.6
Third
247
#39
51.91.2
49.948.7
Auto8.7
Teleop35.5
End7.7
red by 24.9
9685
#34
26.91.0
24.125.1
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsEarned