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Red181
557753.0
590754.9
499828.3
Blue159
261164.7
6636.5
6867.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12017150100150200250181159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+30Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points24
33Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +30
28Coral scored#18
102Coral points66
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#7
12Processor points18
28Net points28
40Algae points46
142Total teleop112
Reef
14L4#8
12L3#6
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
43Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
181Total score159

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5907
#10
54.93.4
42.646.0
Auto13.2
Teleop38.7
End3.0
blue by 12.7
68
#24
67.60.4
59.859.5
Auto19.5
Teleop39.3
End8.8
Second
5577
#28
53.03.4
47.250.6
Auto10.4
Teleop40.3
End2.3
blue by 11.7
2611
#27
64.70.4
51.651.3
Auto17.7
Teleop43.5
End3.4
Third
4998
#21
28.33.4
23.326.8
Auto5.4
Teleop17.7
End5.2
blue by 8.2
66
#40
36.50.4
35.635.3
Auto6.0
Teleop26.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned21%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned