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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14516004006008001,000161158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+1Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave6
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points24
29Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +2
23Coral scored#23
84Coral points84
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
12Processor points18
20Net points12
32Algae points30
116Total teleop114
Reef
9L4#11
8L3#8
6L2#7
5L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#34
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
161Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#19
61.81.6
52.554.1
Auto14.8
Teleop40.8
End6.3
blue by 13.0
74.80.5
64.865.3
Auto19.6
Teleop49.4
End5.8
Second
56.71.6
45.747.3
Auto17.9
Teleop32.2
End6.6
blue by 3.2
2145
#22
59.90.5
47.247.7
Auto18.0
Teleop37.0
End4.9
Third
1711
#38
37.01.6
38.840.4
Auto9.5
Teleop19.1
End8.4
blue by 9.8
8873
#23
46.80.5
38.238.7
Auto7.5
Teleop30.3
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed44%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsEarned