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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051935015025099195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+39
Teleop+94
Endgame+96
Fouls+96
AutonomousBlue +39
9Leave9
2Coral scored#10
10Coral points49
19Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +55
12Coral scored#21
44Coral points77
1Processor algae#4
4Net algae#5
6Processor points24
16Net points20
22Algae points44
66Total teleop121
Reef
4L4#17
4L3#6
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +96
0Foul points0
99Total score195

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4003
#29
49.30.4
38.738.2
Auto8.2
Teleop36.5
End4.5
blue by 22.5
71.81.4
65.266.6
Auto20.9
Teleop42.1
End8.8
Second
818
#37
41.30.4
41.541.0
Auto7.4
Teleop32.3
End1.6
blue by 28.3
3539
#13
69.51.4
61.763.1
Auto21.2
Teleop40.3
End8.0
Third
9685
#34
26.90.4
25.124.7
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End7.2
blue by 21.8
1481
#25
48.81.4
47.148.5
Auto9.1
Teleop35.1
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsEarned