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Qual 222025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - DTE Energy Foundation Division
Red141
445326.2
3385.2
590754.9
Blue130
24751.9
851736.0
57341.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163133100150200250141130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+17Teleop
+17Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave9
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points17
44Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +1
14Coral scored#14
51Coral points50
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
83Total teleop84
Reef
7L4#8
7L3#5
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points6
141Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#7
85.20.5
78.1→77.7
Auto19.7
Teleop56.0
End9.5
red by 33.3
247
#39
51.90.0
48.7→48.7
Auto8.7
Teleop35.5
End7.7
Second
5907
#10
54.90.5
46.0→45.6
Auto13.2
Teleop38.7
End3.0
red by 13.6
573
#31
41.40.0
40.1→40.1
Auto6.9
Teleop27.4
End7.0
Third
4453
#35
26.20.5
23.9→23.5
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End4.3
blue by 9.9
8517
#33
36.00.0
35.3→35.3
Auto8.1
Teleop25.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned