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Qual 232025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - DTE Energy Foundation Division
Red177
6636.5
85749.3
7068.2
Blue222
365555.5
6867.6
205477.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141211100250300177222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+33
Endgame+45
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave0
7Coral scored#12
34Coral points58
40Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +15
23Coral scored#29
83Coral points104
4Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
24Processor points18
16Net points16
40Algae points34
123Total teleop138
Reef
7L4#19
9L3#10
8L2#7
6L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points0
177Total score222

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#16
68.21.9
54.5→56.4
Auto15.4
Teleop41.9
End10.8
blue by 9.4
2054
#1
77.61.3
73.8→75.1
Auto24.2
Teleop44.0
End9.3
Second
857
#30
49.31.9
41.0→42.9
Auto12.5
Teleop29.1
End7.6
blue by 18.3
68
#24
67.61.3
59.5→60.7
Auto19.5
Teleop39.3
End8.8
Third
66
#40
36.51.9
35.3→37.2
Auto6.0
Teleop26.1
End4.3
blue by 19.0
3655
#15
55.51.3
53.0→54.3
Auto13.2
Teleop33.1
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned72%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned