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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171166150160180190200182194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
+2Teleop
Endgame+10
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave3
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points33
23Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +15
26Coral scored#23
95Coral points84
3Processor algae#3
8Net algae#7
18Processor points18
32Net points28
50Algae points46
145Total teleop130
Reef
10L4#13
7L3#9
9L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points2
182Total score194

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.90.8
60.160.9
Auto11.3
Teleop48.2
End10.3
red by 6.7
7211
#18
63.22.0
56.058.0
Auto11.6
Teleop41.9
End9.7
Second
5577
#28
53.00.8
50.651.5
Auto10.4
Teleop40.3
End2.3
blue by 6.9
2145
#22
59.92.0
47.749.7
Auto18.0
Teleop37.0
End4.9
Third
6618
#20
50.50.8
44.845.6
Auto11.6
Teleop35.1
End3.8
blue by 0.3
50.82.0
44.246.2
Auto11.5
Teleop30.0
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned24%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned