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Qual 262025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - DTE Energy Foundation Division
Red190
171137.0
261164.7
353874.8
Blue229
283268.7
2781.1
442255.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166200100150250190229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+19
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
8Coral scored#12
42Coral points58
51Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +12
23Coral scored#34
83Coral points123
3Processor algae#1
8Net algae#4
18Processor points6
32Net points16
50Algae points22
133Total teleop145
Reef
7L4#22
8L3#10
9L2#8
7L1 · trough#6
42Game pieces#51
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
190Total score229

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#8
74.81.3
65.3→66.6
Auto19.6
Teleop49.4
End5.8
blue by 6.2
27
#3
81.12.1
74.3→76.5
Auto19.0
Teleop50.7
End11.4
Second
2611
#27
64.71.3
51.3→52.6
Auto17.7
Teleop43.5
End3.4
blue by 4.0
2832
#12
68.72.1
60.0→62.2
Auto23.3
Teleop39.3
End6.0
Third
1711
#38
37.01.3
40.4→41.6
Auto9.5
Teleop19.1
End8.4
blue by 18.4
4422
#17
55.42.1
48.4→50.5
Auto12.4
Teleop32.3
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
46%Coral oddsEarned98%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
68%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned