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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1481176080100140160180200220175146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+29Teleop
+29Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave6
8Coral scored#3
42Coral points17
51Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +1
18Coral scored#19
64Coral points69
1Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
6Processor points12
28Net points16
34Algae points28
98Total teleop97
Reef
12L4#7
5L3#9
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
0Foul points0
175Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.72.3
47.349.6
Auto17.9
Teleop32.2
End6.6
red by 2.8
5530
#32
54.02.0
45.547.5
Auto14.6
Teleop33.6
End5.8
Second
3655
#15
55.52.3
54.356.6
Auto13.2
Teleop33.1
End9.1
red by 3.4
3770
#26
52.12.0
46.148.0
Auto5.3
Teleop36.3
End10.5
Third
8873
#23
46.82.3
38.741.0
Auto7.5
Teleop30.3
End8.9
red by 20.6
4453
#35
26.22.0
24.926.9
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned