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Qual 282025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - DTE Energy Foundation Division
Red119
968526.9
6636.5
24751.9
Blue150
81841.3
550948.2
205477.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120180100150200250119150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+29
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +15
3Leave0
4Coral scored#7
19Coral points37
22Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +14
13Coral scored#19
45Coral points69
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
18Processor points12
20Net points16
38Algae points28
83Total teleop97
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#11
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
119Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
247
#39
51.91.0
48.7→47.7
Auto8.7
Teleop35.5
End7.7
blue by 25.7
2054
#1
77.61.9
75.1→73.2
Auto24.2
Teleop44.0
End9.3
Second
66
#40
36.51.0
37.2→36.2
Auto6.0
Teleop26.1
End4.3
blue by 11.7
5509
#14
48.21.9
41.1→39.2
Auto8.6
Teleop29.6
End10.0
Third
9685
#34
26.91.0
24.7→23.7
Auto7.4
Teleop12.3
End7.2
blue by 14.3
818
#37
41.31.9
41.0→39.2
Auto7.4
Teleop32.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed57%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned71%Barge oddsEarned