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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165170140150160180190200176192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave0
7Coral scored#7
34Coral points36
37Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +5
21Coral scored#22
75Coral points78
4Processor algae#3
7Net algae#9
24Processor points18
28Net points36
52Algae points54
127Total teleop132
Reef
8L4#11
9L3#9
8L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#41
BargeBlue +12
12Cage & park24
12Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
176Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#7
85.21.2
77.778.9
Auto19.7
Teleop56.0
End9.5
red by 22.0
7211
#18
63.22.1
58.060.1
Auto11.6
Teleop41.9
End9.7
Second
4003
#29
49.31.2
38.239.5
Auto8.2
Teleop36.5
End4.5
blue by 3.8
5577
#28
53.02.1
51.553.5
Auto10.4
Teleop40.3
End2.3
Third
8280
#36
36.11.2
33.734.9
Auto13.5
Teleop19.9
End2.8
blue by 13.1
857
#30
49.32.1
42.945.0
Auto12.5
Teleop29.1
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsEarned27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned