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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions218161100150200250300225151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+41Auto
+80Teleop
+80Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +41
0Leave3
10Coral scored#1
50Coral points6
50Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +39
26Coral scored#19
93Coral points68
4Processor algae#3
8Net algae#6
24Processor points18
32Net points24
56Algae points42
149Total teleop110
Reef
17L4#10
10L3#4
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#4
48Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
0Foul points6
225Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.81.1
70.771.8
Auto19.6
Teleop49.4
End5.8
red by 19.4
4422
#17
55.41.1
55.854.7
Auto12.4
Teleop32.3
End10.7
Second
3539
#13
69.51.1
62.763.8
Auto21.2
Teleop40.3
End8.0
red by 17.4
3770
#26
52.11.1
50.649.5
Auto5.3
Teleop36.3
End10.5
Third
7211
#18
63.21.1
63.764.8
Auto11.6
Teleop41.9
End9.7
red by 19.9
43.31.1
43.642.5
Auto3.0
Teleop37.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
92%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned