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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162170120140180200220172167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+13Teleop
+3Endgame
+5Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points23
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +13
25Coral scored#19
91Coral points68
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#8
12Processor points18
28Net points32
40Algae points50
131Total teleop118
Reef
12L4#8
7L3#6
4L2#6
5L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
2Foul points0
172Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.91.5
63.064.5
Auto11.3
Teleop48.2
End10.3
red by 8.1
3414
#19
61.80.9
55.155.9
Auto14.8
Teleop40.8
End6.3
Second
2771
#11
49.61.5
42.744.2
Auto10.7
Teleop32.7
End6.2
blue by 2.3
247
#39
51.90.9
48.449.3
Auto8.7
Teleop35.5
End7.7
Third
4003
#29
49.31.5
41.743.2
Auto8.2
Teleop36.5
End4.5
red by 0.5
1481
#25
48.80.9
50.251.1
Auto9.1
Teleop35.1
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsEarned