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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176136100150200250158154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+6
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
6Coral scored#7
31Coral points35
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +1
18Coral scored#18
63Coral points64
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
85Total teleop84
Reef
8L4#7
8L3#8
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
29Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
158Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68
#24
67.60.2
63.763.9
Auto19.5
Teleop39.3
End8.8
red by 13.6
5530
#32
54.01.8
50.251.9
Auto14.6
Teleop33.6
End5.8
Second
50.80.2
49.249.4
Auto11.5
Teleop30.0
End9.4
red by 9.5
573
#31
41.41.8
35.237.0
Auto6.9
Teleop27.4
End7.0
Third
5509
#14
48.20.2
42.242.4
Auto8.6
Teleop29.6
End10.0
red by 11.2
1711
#38
37.01.8
42.344.0
Auto9.5
Teleop19.1
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
66%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned