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Red145
887346.8
851736.0
2781.1
Blue117
828036.1
6636.5
81841.3
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182129100150200250145117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+26Teleop
+34Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave6
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points27
34Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +25
19Coral scored#16
67Coral points58
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
97Total teleop72
Reef
13L4#5
5L3#6
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#24
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points6
145Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#3
81.12.0
75.673.5
Auto19.0
Teleop50.7
End11.4
red by 39.8
818
#37
41.31.8
41.039.3
Auto7.4
Teleop32.3
End1.6
Second
8873
#23
46.82.0
45.143.1
Auto7.5
Teleop30.3
End8.9
red by 10.3
66
#40
36.51.8
40.138.3
Auto6.0
Teleop26.1
End4.3
Third
8517
#33
36.02.0
36.534.5
Auto8.1
Teleop25.6
End2.3
blue by 0.1
8280
#36
36.11.8
36.434.6
Auto13.5
Teleop19.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
71%Coral oddsEarned31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed