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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23511950100150200250300350207131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+70Teleop
+70Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
9Leave0
11Coral scored#5
56Coral points27
65Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +32
19Coral scored#16
70Coral points58
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
24Processor points12
16Net points8
40Algae points20
110Total teleop78
Reef
10L4#6
11L3#8
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
6Foul points0
207Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#7
85.21.3
82.080.6
Auto19.7
Teleop56.0
End9.5
red by 13.4
71.80.2
66.166.2
Auto20.9
Teleop42.1
End8.8
Second
77.61.3
73.972.6
Auto24.2
Teleop44.0
End9.3
red by 49.3
4998
#21
28.30.2
26.526.7
Auto5.4
Teleop17.7
End5.2
Third
56.71.3
53.952.5
Auto17.9
Teleop32.2
End6.6
red by 30.6
4453
#35
26.20.2
24.825.0
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
77%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned