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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1561206080100140180200220161143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+24Teleop
+16Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
6Coral scored#4
31Coral points20
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +10
24Coral scored#16
88Coral points58
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#6
12Processor points24
16Net points24
28Algae points48
116Total teleop106
Reef
14L4#8
5L3#3
8L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
2Foul points0
161Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.80.1
64.063.9
Auto20.9
Teleop42.1
End8.8
red by 22.2
2771
#11
49.60.7
41.041.7
Auto10.7
Teleop32.7
End6.2
Second
6618
#20
50.50.1
43.443.3
Auto11.6
Teleop35.1
End3.8
red by 1.2
857
#30
49.30.7
41.542.1
Auto12.5
Teleop29.1
End7.6
Third
573
#31
41.40.1
39.439.3
Auto6.9
Teleop27.4
End7.0
blue by 5.4
8873
#23
46.80.7
36.236.9
Auto7.5
Teleop30.3
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsEarned