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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13015050100200250135140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+5Teleop
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points14
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +9
13Coral scored#15
46Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
6Processor points12
20Net points16
26Algae points28
72Total teleop81
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#4
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
135Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.90.5
53.253.6
Auto12.5
Teleop42.6
End10.7
red by 4.9
5505
#16
61.00.2
54.954.7
Auto13.0
Teleop36.0
End12.0
Second
5114
#15
62.20.5
42.943.4
Auto18.8
Teleop34.8
End8.6
red by 9.9
7174
#12
52.30.2
44.644.3
Auto14.7
Teleop31.0
End6.6
Third
6033
#18
36.40.5
25.626.1
Auto5.8
Teleop21.3
End9.3
blue by 7.8
2620
#31
44.10.2
38.838.6
Auto10.4
Teleop25.7
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned