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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15610550200136157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+38
Teleop+25
Endgame+23
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +38
9Leave6
0Coral scored#8
0Coral points41
9Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +13
25Coral scored#19
91Coral points68
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
109Total teleop96
Reef
11L4#11
5L3#5
4L2#6
5L1 · trough#5
29Game pieces#33
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
2Foul points0
136Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.81.9
59.257.3
Auto16.2
Teleop44.5
End8.1
red by 19.8
548
#10
49.02.4
41.844.3
Auto8.1
Teleop34.8
End6.1
Second
3668
#19
57.81.9
47.445.6
Auto11.7
Teleop38.8
End7.3
red by 18.7
4855
#26
39.12.4
33.535.9
Auto9.1
Teleop27.0
End3.0
Third
6120
#30
37.61.9
35.233.3
Auto9.0
Teleop21.7
End7.0
red by 6.2
31.42.4
27.129.6
Auto6.7
Teleop24.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned