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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124163100150200250184208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+46
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
8Coral scored#10
38Coral points51
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +39
22Coral scored#27
80Coral points97
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#7
12Processor points18
12Net points28
24Algae points46
104Total teleop143
Reef
7L4#13
10L3#13
6L2#7
7L1 · trough#4
35Game pieces#47
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
184Total score208

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#15
62.24.5
47.351.8
Auto18.8
Teleop34.8
End8.6
blue by 2.6
64.74.1
63.167.1
Auto14.4
Teleop48.0
End2.4
Second
1684
#29
48.74.5
36.040.5
Auto9.9
Teleop32.6
End6.3
blue by 15.0
63.84.1
46.450.5
Auto18.1
Teleop37.1
End8.5
Third
6120
#30
37.64.5
32.937.5
Auto9.0
Teleop21.7
End7.0
blue by 6.5
2620
#31
44.14.1
34.238.3
Auto10.4
Teleop25.7
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsEarned31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned