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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13316650100150200250133175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+36
Endgame+36
Fouls+42
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points27
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +43
14Coral scored#27
50Coral points97
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#5
6Processor points6
24Net points20
30Algae points26
80Total teleop123
Reef
7L4#15
6L3#6
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#6
27Game pieces#38
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points6
133Total score175

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7174
#12
52.30.3
46.546.7
Auto14.7
Teleop31.0
End6.6
blue by 11.1
63.31.2
55.656.7
Auto8.6
Teleop43.4
End11.3
Second
6861
#37
40.00.3
38.939.2
Auto6.5
Teleop26.8
End6.7
blue by 17.9
217
#8
57.91.2
49.250.4
Auto10.0
Teleop39.8
End8.1
Third
5695
#36
37.70.3
32.232.4
Auto7.3
Teleop26.1
End4.3
red by 1.2
815
#38
36.51.2
35.636.7
Auto7.1
Teleop28.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsEarned37%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned