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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154165100120140180200220210162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+26Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points27
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +19
24Coral scored#24
85Coral points88
4Processor algae#3
7Net algae#3
24Processor points18
28Net points12
52Algae points30
137Total teleop118
Reef
9L4#13
7L3#6
9L2#5
6L1 · trough#5
42Game pieces#35
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
210Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.93.6
54.458.0
Auto12.5
Teleop42.6
End10.7
blue by 3.0
68.80.1
58.658.7
Auto16.2
Teleop44.5
End8.1
Second
3322
#14
51.83.6
43.347.0
Auto12.4
Teleop31.8
End7.7
blue by 3.3
1506
#17
55.10.1
54.454.4
Auto13.0
Teleop33.6
End8.6
Third
5843
#34
49.63.6
46.750.3
Auto10.6
Teleop30.7
End8.3
red by 16.6
8352
#27
33.00.1
36.836.8
Auto5.8
Teleop25.7
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned53%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned