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Qual 342025 FIRST in Michigan State Championship - Hemlock Semiconductor Division
Red100
511037.1
553442.7
612037.6
Blue179
439179.1
6780.4
360340.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12220950100150250300100179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+47
Endgame+79
Fouls+79
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points27
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +40
12Coral scored#20
43Coral points73
1Processor algae#4
6Net algae#4
6Processor points24
24Net points16
30Algae points40
73Total teleop113
Reef
8L4#11
3L3#4
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +32
4Cage & park36
4Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +79
0Foul points0
100Total score179

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5534
#39
42.71.5
45.3→43.8
Auto5.7
Teleop30.9
End6.1
blue by 37.6
67
#1
80.40.7
73.4→72.7
Auto17.3
Teleop52.3
End10.7
Second
6120
#30
37.61.5
37.5→36.0
Auto9.0
Teleop21.7
End7.0
blue by 41.4
4391
#11
79.10.7
76.4→75.7
Auto15.0
Teleop54.4
End9.6
Third
5110
#35
37.11.5
34.2→32.7
Auto6.7
Teleop25.8
End4.6
blue by 3.7
3603
#33
40.80.7
34.1→33.4
Auto6.7
Teleop26.2
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsMissed95%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
87%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned