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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154130100200250176130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+46Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
9Leave0
7Coral scored#5
35Coral points24
44Total auto24
TeleoperatedRed +26
24Coral scored#21
86Coral points74
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
118Total teleop92
Reef
12L4#13
8L3#5
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
176Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.81.8
50.552.2
Auto18.1
Teleop37.1
End8.5
red by 15.3
6570
#21
48.40.0
44.944.9
Auto6.4
Teleop31.2
End10.8
Second
3357
#22
52.41.8
47.349.1
Auto8.7
Teleop39.0
End4.7
red by 8.3
2620
#31
44.10.0
38.338.3
Auto10.4
Teleop25.7
End8.0
Third
4855
#26
39.11.8
37.639.4
Auto9.1
Teleop27.0
End3.0
red by 1.4
5695
#36
37.70.0
32.432.5
Auto7.3
Teleop26.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
45%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned