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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176174140160200220189220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+7Teleop
Endgame+25
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave9
5Coral scored#6
24Coral points31
30Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +17
30Coral scored#26
107Coral points92
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#7
24Processor points18
24Net points28
48Algae points46
155Total teleop138
Reef
15L4#8
10L3#8
6L2#8
4L1 · trough#8
45Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +32
4Cage & park36
4Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points6
189Total score220

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7769
#13
73.01.2
63.664.8
Auto17.7
Teleop42.8
End12.5
red by 9.7
63.33.2
56.759.9
Auto8.6
Teleop43.4
End11.3
Second
2851
#20
50.81.2
46.948.1
Auto7.1
Teleop42.5
End1.1
blue by 11.4
5114
#15
62.23.2
51.854.9
Auto18.8
Teleop34.8
End8.6
Third
548
#10
49.01.2
49.650.7
Auto8.1
Teleop34.8
End6.1
blue by 2.8
3322
#14
51.83.2
47.050.1
Auto12.4
Teleop31.8
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned49%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
89%Barge oddsMissed98%Barge oddsEarned